The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Miami 18.4%
Draw 22.5%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
24.5%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
24.4%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 13. Knutson D. 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 8. Romero M. 5. Tori R. 9. Sonora J. 16. Diaz G. 7. Tunbridge M. 26. Rocha A.
1. Waite J. (G) 19. LeFlore I. 5. Leerman Y. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 20. Ostrem C. 30. Cruz S. 23. Schneider M. 13. Perez L. 8. Pedro Becker 10. Cicerone R. 9. Myers M.
Substitutes
34. Celdran T. 22. Da Costa R. 17. Levin J. 10. Locadia J. 37. Mello D. 23. Musto T. 27. Ndongo M. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 6. Tulu
26. Acoff D. 7. Conway E. 14. Henderlong K. 4. Hilton L. 41. Kachurak J. (G) 16. Micaletto M. 33. Nigro G. 24. Pack A. (G)
Coaches
Maddoni G.
Casciato D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Sonora J. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
8', Da Costa R. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Cicerone R. ⚽, Myers M. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Myers M. ⚽, Cruz S. (A),
24', LeFlore I. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Rocha A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', LeFlore I. 🟨,
45+8', Calfo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schneider M. ↓, Nigro G. ↑,
46', Tori R. ↓, Ndongo M. ↑,
46', Calfo A. ↓, Levin J. ↑,
59', Pedro Becker ↓, Hilton L. ↑,
62', Rocha A. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
65', Milesi A. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
72', Locadia J. 🟨,
75', Cicerone R. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
75', Perez L. ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Locadia J. ⚽, Ndongo M. (A),
80', 2 - 3, Micaletto M. ⚽, Ostrem C. (A),
83', Mello D. 🟨,
84', Ndongo M. 🟨,
87', Myers M. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
90+3', Dossantos N. 🟨,
90+5', Waite J. 🟨,
90+6', Micaletto M. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:42. (average 1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).
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Room E. (G) 
Ndiaye B. 
Knutson D. 
Milesi A. 
Romero M. 
Tori R. 
Diaz G. 
Tunbridge M. 
Rocha A. 
Waite J. (G) 
Leerman Y. 
Dossantos N. (C) 
Schneider M. 
Pedro Becker 
Levin J. 
Ndongo M. 
Rodriguez F. (G) 
Tulu 
Micaletto M. 
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