The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Rowdies 65.9%
Draw 20.1%
Miami 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
20.9%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
20.2%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Waite J. (G) 27. Wyke L. 3. Schaefer B. 62. Dossantos N. 20. Ostrem C. 23. Schneider M. 4. Hilton L. (C) 13. Perez L. 16. Micaletto M. 10. Cicerone R. 9. Myers M.
31. Rodriguez F. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 14. Rogers A. 13. Knutson D. (C) 21. Milesi A. 22. Da Costa R. 5. Tori R. 8. Romero M. 7. Tunbridge M. 24. Milanes Navarro C. D. 26. Rocha A.
Substitutes
55. Archer L. 7. Conway E. 30. Cruz S. 14. Henderlong K. 24. Pack A. (G) 8. Pedro Becker 36. Rodriguez A. 11. Vivi Quesada G.
4. Calfo A. 17. Levin J. 30. Medranda J. 37. Mello D. 23. Musto T. 41. Rodriguez J. (G) 6. Tulu
Coaches
Casciato D.
Maddoni G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Rocha A. ⚽, Milesi A. (A),
45+3', Casciato D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Tunbridge M. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Ostrem C. ⚽, Dossantos N. (A),
58', Tori R. ↓, Musto T. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Da Costa R. ⚽, Rocha A. (A),
63', Schaefer B. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
63', Micaletto M. ↓, Cruz S. ↑,
63', Perez L. ↓, Vivi Quesada G. ↑,
72', Da Costa R. ↓, Tulu ↑,
74', Hilton L. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
80', Wyke L. ↓, Archer L. ↑,
82', Ndiaye B. ↓, Calfo A. ↑,
83', Romero M. ↓, Levin J. ↑,
90+9', Ostrem C. 🟨,
Preview
Tampa Bay is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
Tampa Bay has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Miami shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Tampa Bay as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:19 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:8 goals (averaging 2.1:0.8 per game).