Match Info

Date: 8 September 2020, Tuesday


	Austin Bold		Tulsa

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4
	1.75	3.65	3.75
	1.87	3.81	3.85
	1.83	3.6	3.7
	1.81	3.74	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.52)	3.59 ↓ (4.15)	3.79 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin Bold
50.4%

Draw
25.5%

Tulsa
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

17.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin Bold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin Bold's form might have worsened.

Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tulsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin Bold than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin Bold, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tulsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Austin Bold - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Austin has a good chance of playoffs (61%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Tulsa has a chance of playoffs (38%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tulsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Austin have a series of guest games.

In this match Austin is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Austin won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Austin won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin Bold
USL Championship
05.09.20	Austin Bold - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
30.08.20	Oklahoma City Energy - Austin Bold	1:1 ✺
26.08.20	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Austin Bold	4:4 ✺
22.08.20	Rio Grande Valley - Austin Bold	2:3 ✺
19.08.20	Tulsa - Austin Bold	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTWT
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
05.09.20	Austin Bold - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
02.09.20	Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Tulsa - Sporting Kansas City II	1:2 ✺
22.08.20	San Antonio - Tulsa	2:0 ✺
19.08.20	Tulsa - Austin Bold	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
05.09.20	Austin Bold - Tulsa	1:1
19.08.20	Tulsa - Austin Bold	2:2
17.08.19	Austin Bold - Tulsa	5:1
01.06.19	Tulsa - Austin Bold	2:3
US Open Cup
14.05.19	Austin Bold - Tulsa	2:0

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