Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Tulsa		Austin Bold

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.93	3.3	3.35
	1.97	3.68	3.5
	1.97	3.46	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.24)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	3.39 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulsa
46.4%

Draw
26.8%

Austin Bold
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

20.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tulsa's performance.

Austin Bold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin Bold than the current prediction. (-4%)

Tulsa - Austin Bold Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Tulsa has the most likely position - 3 (57.09%), has project points - 51, has currently - 38, has a very good chance of playoffs (98%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Austin has the most likely position - 5 (30.6%), has project points - 45, has currently - 32, has a chance of playoffs (47%), has a chance of qtrs (16%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tulsa in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Austin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Austin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Tulsa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Tulsa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
11.09.21	Tulsa - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
08.09.21	Tulsa - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
03.09.21	Louisville City - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
25.08.21	Tulsa - Memphis 901	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWWWW
- Austin Bold
USL Championship
10.09.21	Austin Bold - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
07.09.21	Austin Bold - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Austin Bold	4:1 ✺
23.08.21	Austin Bold - New Mexico United	1:1 ✺
17.08.21	Austin Bold - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
08.09.20	Austin Bold - Tulsa	2:2
05.09.20	Austin Bold - Tulsa	1:1
19.08.20	Tulsa - Austin Bold	2:2
17.08.19	Austin Bold - Tulsa	5:1
01.06.19	Tulsa - Austin Bold	2:3
US Open Cup
14.05.19	Austin Bold - Tulsa	2:0

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