Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean


	Sacramento Republic		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	2.02	3.05	3.7
	1.99	3.06	4.47
	1.95	3.21	4.06	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.96	3.34	3.86	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.36)	3.09 ↑ (2.91)	3.77 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
45.8%

Draw
29.8%

Tulsa
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Sacramento Republic - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. (C) 3. Spaulding R. 11. Ajago F. 8. Rodriguez M. 27. Crisostomo D. 22. Benitez M. 10. Rodriguez A. 7. Malango M. 18. Kaye M.	1. Tambakis A. (G) 4. Pierre D. 91. Cissoko A. (C) 15. Batista L. 47. St.Clair H. 13. Kocevski J. 44. Somersall R. 12. Stauffer L. 22. Lukic S. 10. Elmedkhar K. 8. Webber J.
Substitutes
24. Casas J. 42. Chivukula R. 71. Edwards K. 2. Gurr J. 14. Kimbrough D. 31. Randolph J. (G) 55. Ukaegbu C. 17. Wanner D. 20. Willey B.	11. Bruno Lapa 7. Cabral R. 2. Damm O. 23. Henry T. (G) 98. Ian 42. Pierre N. 17. Sparks B.
Coaches
Collins N.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Ajago F. 🟨,
67', Batista L. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Kleemann F. ⚽, Spaulding R. (A),
69', Somersall R. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
69', Lukic S. ↓, Bruno Lapa ↑,
74', Kleemann F. 🟨,
75', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
75', Ajago F. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Edwards K. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
86', Kaye M. 🟨,
88', Rodriguez A. ↓, Willey B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 0.

Sacramento Republic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tulsa - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
02.11.25	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	0:1 penalties ✺
25.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Miami	0:1 ✺
22.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Lexington - Sacramento Republic	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Hartford Athletic - Sacramento Republic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
22.11.25	Tulsa - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Tulsa - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ET ✺
01.11.25	Tulsa - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ET ✺
25.10.25	Tulsa - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.06.25	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	0:1
28.03.25	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:0
22.06.24	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	0:0
13.04.24	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	1:1
29.04.23	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:1
27.03.22	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	2:1
07.03.20	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	1:1

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