Match Info

MLS

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Austin FC		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.87
	2.32	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.4	3.14
	2.28	3.43	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.37	3.39	3.19	Watch
	2.36	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.37)	3.34 ↑ (3.31)	3.06 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
40.9%

Draw
28.2%

Minnesota United
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Austin FC - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Minnesota will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Minnesota (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 50%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 17. Gallagher J. 5. Svatok O. 4. Hines-Ike B. 23. Kolmanic Z. 8. Pereira D. 6. Sanchez I. 30. Rosales J. 11. Torres F. 7. Nelson J. 10. Uzuni M.	12. Callender D. (G) 27. Taylor D. 23. Duggan M. 15. Boxall M. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 20. Trapp W. 25. Triantis N. 21. Hlongwane B. 9. Yeboah K. 8. Chancalay T.
Substitutes
15. Bell J. 32. Burton M. 35. Djordjevic M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 12. Las D. (G) 16. Taylor R. 2. Thomas R. 38. Torres E.	29. Dieng M. 3. Duncan K. 30. Gene O. 24. Gressel J. 67. Harvey C. 2. Padelford D. 32. Putt T. 1. Smir A. (G) 6. Stroud P.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Knowles C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Hines-Ike B. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
25', Trapp W. 🟨,
38', Sanchez I. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Duggan M. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Hlongwane B. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,
66', Taylor D. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
69', Nelson J. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Gallagher J. ⚽,
78', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
78', Markanich A. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
86', Triantis N. ↓, Dieng M. ↑,
86', Chancalay T. ↓, Putt T. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Yeboah K. ⚽,
90+1', Rosales J. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
90+1', Taylor R. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.

Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Austin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Outrights of MLS for now

Minnesota United: 0.62% Austin FC: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
MLS
02.11.25	Austin FC - Los Angeles	1:4 ✺
29.10.25	Los Angeles - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Austin FC - Los Angeles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW
- Minnesota United
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Charlotte - Minnesota United	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
MLS
24.11.25	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	4:3 penalties ✺
03.11.25	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
17.09.25	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:2 ET
MLS
24.05.25	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:1
03.05.25	Austin FC - Minnesota United	0:3
22.06.24	Minnesota United - Austin FC	0:1
24.02.24	Austin FC - Minnesota United	1:2
08.07.23	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:4
31.05.23	Austin FC - Minnesota United	2:1

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