The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes 64.8%
Draw 19.9%
Austin FC 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
23.6%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
22.7%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 17. Jasinski J. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 2. Ricketts J. 34. Leroux B. 14. Vieira R. (C) 7. Bouda O. 10. Tsakiris N. 11. Werner T. 19. Judd P.
1. Stuver B. (C) 17. Gallagher J. 4. Hines-Ike B. 15. Bell J. 29. Guilherme Biro 24. Alastuey J. 14. Sabovic B. 20. Dubersarsky N. 30. Rosales J. 19. Fodrey C. 11. Torres F.
Substitutes
21. Buck N. 36. Edwards E. (G) 20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Harkes I. 3. Marie P. 4. Romney D. 16. Skahan J.
32. Burton M. 3. Desler M. 35. Djordjevic M. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 21. Ramirez C. 6. Sanchez I. 5. Svatok O. 38. Torres E.
Coaches
Arena B.
Estevez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Rosales J. ⚽,
38', Guilherme Biro ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
45+1', Edwards E. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
54', Roberts R. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Jasinski J. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
66', Fodrey C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
66', Alastuey J. ↓, Desler M. ↑,
68', Jasinski J. 🟨,
71', Rosales J. 🟨,
75', Jasinski J. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Werner T. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Leroux B. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Marie P. (A), Werner T. (A2)
85', 4 - 1, Bouda O. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
87', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
87', Rosales J. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
88', 5 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Marie P. (A), Bouda O. (A2)
90', Werner T. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
90', Ricketts J. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
90', Vieira R. ↓, Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
San Jose is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Austin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, San Jose is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Austin: Pereira D.
(Injury)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
Wolff O.
(Groin Injury)
We predict that San Jose will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 2.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
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Daniel (G) 
Jasinski J. 
Vieira R. (C) 
Bouda O. 
Werner T. 
Gallagher J. 
Bell J. 
Alastuey J. 
Sabovic B. 
Dubersarsky N. 
Rosales J. 
Torres F. 
Buck N. 
Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 
Marie P. 
Desler M. 
Djordjevic M. 
Kolmanic Z. 
Svatok O. 
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