The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austin FC 31.9%
Draw 25.5%
Real Salt Lake 42.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.9%
25.8%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
25.5%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.
Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Salt Lake's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Austin FC - Real Salt Lake Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 0.
Austin is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Salt Lake is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Salt Lake: Luna D.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Austin: Bell J.
(Abdominal strain)
Kolmanic Z.
(Thigh Injury)
Torres E.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Salt Lake: Arias J. J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dillon G.
(Foot Injury)
Eneli E.
(Knee Injury)
Engel L.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Austin has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:22 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Austin against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:8 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Real Salt Lake: 0.63% Austin FC: 0.53%
Last Results with these Odds
Real Salt Lake - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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