Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Austin FC		Real Salt Lake

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.7
	1.87	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.8	4.35
	1.83	3.71	4.28	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.75
	1.85	3.89	4.3	Watch
	1.87	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.13)	3.73 ↑ (3.56)	4.12 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
51.2%

Draw
25.7%

Real Salt Lake
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.

Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Salt Lake might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Salt Lake could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Austin FC - Real Salt Lake Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austin FC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 17. Gallagher J. 5. Svatok O. 4. Hines-Ike B. 29. Guilherme Biro 33. Wolff O. 6. Sanchez I. 14. Sabovic B. 11. Bukari O. 9. Vazquez B. 10. Uzuni M.	1. Rafael Cabral (G) 92. Caliskan N. 4. Vera B. 15. Glad J. 98. Katranis A. 7. Ruiz P. 6. Ojeda B. 11. Marczuk D. 72. Gozo Z. 8. Luna D. 9. Agada W.
Substitutes
18. Cascante J. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 3. Desler M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 23. Kolmanic Z. 7. Obrian J. 8. Pereira D. 21. Rubio D. 16. Taylor R.	17. Brook L. 39. Hezarkhani A. 19. Hidalgo B. 29. Junqua S. 13. Palacio N. 23. Piol A. 26. Quinton P. 77. Russell J. 31. Stajduhar M. (G)
Coaches
Estevez N.	Mastroeni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Vera B. ↓, Quinton P. ↑,
58', Katranis A. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
58', Ruiz P. ↓, Palacio N. ↑,
67', Sanchez I. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Agada W. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
68', Sanchez I. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
74', Gozo Z. 🟨,
76', Marczuk D. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
80', Wolff O. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
80', Uzuni M. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
80', Guilherme Biro ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
83', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
86', Agada W. ↓, Hidalgo B. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Rubio D. ⚽, Kolmanic Z. (A),
90+5', Sabovic B. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.

Recent performances by Austin have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salt Lake has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Austin is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Austin: Taylor R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Austin: Pereira D. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Salt Lake: Goncalves D. (Heel Injury) Henry K. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Austin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
24.05.25	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
MLS
17.05.25	Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	Austin FC - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Cincinnati - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTTL
- Real Salt Lake
MLS
24.05.25	Real Salt Lake - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3 ✺
17.05.25	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
14.05.25	Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
28.09.24	Austin FC - Real Salt Lake	2:2
01.06.24	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	5:1
03.06.23	Austin FC - Real Salt Lake	1:2
11.03.23	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	1:2
16.10.22	Austin FC - Real Salt Lake	3:2 penalties
14.09.22	Austin FC - Real Salt Lake	3:0
14.05.22	Real Salt Lake - Austin FC	2:1

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