Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, KS)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Sporting Kansas City		Real Salt Lake

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.7
				Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.91
				Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.9
	2.37	3.66	2.89	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	2.95 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Kansas City
41.5%

Draw
26.5%

Real Salt Lake
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Salt Lake's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	18.2%	22.7%

Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Salt Lake (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Kansas City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 3 - 60%). Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pulskamp J. (G) 11. Shelton K. 15. Miller J. 2. James I. 14. Leibold T. 16. Bartlett J. 21. Garcia M. 8. Rodriguez M. 26. Thommy E. (C) 7. Munoz S. 10. Salloi D.	1. Rafael Cabral (G) 92. Caliskan N. 15. Glad J. 29. Junqua S. 98. Katranis A. 13. Palacio N. 7. Ruiz P. 77. Russell J. 72. Gozo Z. 10. Goncalves D. 9. Agada W.
Substitutes
30. Afrifa S. 3. Brody A. 17. Davis J. 9. Joveljic D. 18. Ndenbe L. 36. Schewe R. (G) 93. Suleymanov S. 13. Toye M.	36. Barea J. 17. Brook L. 3. Henry K. 19. Hidalgo B. 11. Marczuk D. 23. Piol A. 26. Quinton P. 31. Stajduhar M. (G)
Coaches
Zavagnin K.	Mastroeni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Salloi D. 🟨,
35', Leibold T. 🟨,
43', Bartlett J. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Russell J. ⚽, Katranis A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salloi D. ↓, Suleymanov S. ↑,
46', Leibold T. ↓, Ndenbe L. ↑,
49', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
52', Palacio N. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Davis J. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Thommy E. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
65', Agada W. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
65', Russell J. ↓, Marczuk D. ↑,
70', Gozo Z. 🟨,
70', Davis J. 🟨,
74', Ruiz P. 🟨,
77', Munoz S. ↓, Toye M. ↑,
82', Davis J. 🟨,
85', Katranis A. ↓, Quinton P. ↑,
89', Ruiz P. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
89', Thommy E. ↓, Brody A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 1.

In recent matches, Kansas City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salt Lake is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kansas City: Bassong Z. (International duty) Voloder R. (Collarbone injury)

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Eneli E. (Foot Injury) Luna D. (International duty) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Marczuk D. (International duty)

There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Salt Lake: Ojeda B. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
25.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - Charlotte	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - FC Dallas	2:4 ✺
08.06.25	Los Angeles - Sporting Kansas City	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Houston Dynamo - Sporting Kansas City	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Sporting Kansas City - New England Revolution	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWT
- Real Salt Lake
MLS
14.06.25	Real Salt Lake - DC United	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Austin FC - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Real Salt Lake - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3 ✺
17.05.25	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
19.06.24	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	3:4
04.05.24	Real Salt Lake - Sporting Kansas City	1:0
07.10.23	Real Salt Lake - Sporting Kansas City	2:3
12.07.23	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	2:2
17.07.22	Real Salt Lake - Sporting Kansas City	3:0
26.03.22	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	1:0
28.11.21	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	1:2

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