The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City 32.5%
Draw 24.8%
Real Salt Lake 42.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
24%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
24.1%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cleveland S. (G) 16. Bartlett J. 15. Miller J. 28. Meyer W. 18. Karic E. 11. Andre Luiz 20. Agyabeng K. 22. Bassong Z. (C) 14. Harris C. 19. Calheira T. 17. Afrifa S.
1. Rafael Cabral (C) 11. Marczuk D. 3. Henry K. 44. De Fougerolles L. 26. Quinton P. 8. Sanabria J. 9. Guilavogui M. 6. Spierings S. 92. Caliskan N. 12. Lobjanidze S. 22. Solans S.
Substitutes
23. Bartlow E. 7. Capita 8. Davis J. 2. James I. 1. Pulskamp J. (G) 24. Ramos R. 99. Reid J. 29. Reid S. 93. Suleymanov S.
23. Booth Z. 25. Guske C. 39. Hezarkhani A. 29. Junqua S. 98. Katranis A. 19. Piol A. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 2. Yedlin D. 28. Zagar D.
Coaches
Wicky R.
Mastroeni P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Guilavogui M. ⚽, Caliskan N. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Solans S. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Calheira T. ⚽, Andre Luiz (A),
45+1', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 3, Guilavogui M. ⚽,
62', Afrifa S. ↓, Capita ↑,
62', Agyabeng K. ↓, Davis J. ↑,
63', Marczuk D. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
72', Sanabria J. 🟨,
73', Bassong Z. ↓, James I. ↑,
73', Calheira T. ↓, Reid S. ↑,
74', Harris C. 🟨,
76', Bartlett J. 🟨,
77', Solans S. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
77', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Hezarkhani A. ↑,
85', De Fougerolles L. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
85', Guilavogui M. ↓, Katranis A. ↑,
87', Harris C. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
90+1', Booth Z. 🟨,
90+1', Spierings S. 🟨,
90+2', Miller J. 🟨,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 0.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Kansas City: Blorian O.
(Chest Injury)
Diego Borges
(Groin Injury)
Johnsen L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mosquera M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wolff O.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Salt Lake: Arias J. J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Eneli E.
(Knee Injury)
Engel L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Glad J.
(Groin Injury)
Luna D.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kansas City: Reynolds J.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Salt Lake: De Fougerolles L.
(Injury)
Dillon G.
(Foot Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kansas City has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:32 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kansas City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.7 per game).
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Cleveland S. (G) 
Karic E. 
Andre Luiz 
Agyabeng K. 
Bassong Z. (C) 
Harris C. 
Marczuk D. 
Henry K. 
Sanabria J. 
Guilavogui M. 
Spierings S. 
Caliskan N. 
Lobjanidze S. 
Solans S. 
Capita 
Reid S. 
Suleymanov S. 
Katranis A. 
Piol A. 
Zagar D. 
Wicky R. 
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