Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: America First Field (Sandy, UT)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Real Salt Lake		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5	Watch
	1.73	4	4.1
	1.58	4.65	4.9	Watch
	1.59	4.62	5.21
				Watch
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.62	4.45	5.01	Watch
	1.72	4.15	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	4.31 ↑ (4.21)	4.69 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Salt Lake
57.7%

Draw
22%

St. Louis City
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

22.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

23.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 20%). St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Salt Lake (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 2 - 33.3%). St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Cabral (G) 92. Caliskan N. 15. Glad J. 29. Junqua S. 98. Katranis A. 13. Palacio N. 7. Ruiz P. 77. Russell J. 72. Gozo Z. 10. Goncalves D. 9. Agada W.	1. Burki R. (C) 91. Orozco J. 15. Yaro J. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 14. Totland T. 7. Ostrak T. 17. Hartel M. 6. Wallem C. 11. Becher S. 9. Joao Klauss 36. Teuchert C.
Substitutes
36. Barea J. 17. Brook L. 19. Hidalgo B. 11. Marczuk D. 6. Ojeda B. 23. Piol A. 26. Quinton P. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 4. Vera B.	22. Hiebert K. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 33. Pearce T. 12. Pompeu C. 99. Reid J. 45. Silva X. 20. Watts A. 71. Zalinsky J.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.	Critchley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Caliskan N. ⚽,
17', Wallem C. 🟨,
32', Russell J. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Goncalves D. ⚽, Agada W. (A), Glad J. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, Joao Klauss ⚽, Hartel M. (A),
60', Russell J. ↓, Marczuk D. ↑,
63', Ostrak T. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Yaro J. (Own goal),
72', Teuchert C. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
72', Totland T. ↓, Zalinsky J. ↑,
80', Becher S. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
80', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Yaro J. ⚽, Hartel M. (A),
82', Katranis A. ↓, Vera B. ↑,
90+5', Agada W. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
90+5', Ruiz P. ↓, Ojeda B. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

Recent performances by Salt Lake have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Louis City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Salt Lake is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Salt Lake: Brown J. (Knee Injury) Eneli E. (Foot Injury) Luna D. (International duty) MacMath Z. (Back Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Baumgartl T. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Salt Lake: Ojeda B. (Inactive) Vera B. (Illness) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salt Lake won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis City - the odds 4.44 are the expected chance of winning is 21.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Salt Lake
MLS
28.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Real Salt Lake - DC United	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Austin FC - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Real Salt Lake - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLTL
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
28.06.25	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	St. Louis City - Orlando City	2:4 ✺
14.06.25	St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:3 ✺
08.06.25	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
30.03.24	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	3:1
24.02.24	St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake	1:1
21.06.23	St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake	1:3
25.03.23	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	0:4

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