The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Salt Lake 49.6%
Draw 24.3%
St. Louis City 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
25.1%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
25.8%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Salt Lake's performance.
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Salt Lake that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Cabral (C) 11. Marczuk D. 44. De Fougerolles L. 26. Quinton P. 3. Henry K. 8. Sanabria J. 12. Lobjanidze S. 6. Spierings S. 92. Caliskan N. 9. Guilavogui M. 22. Solans S.
39. Lundt B. (G) 99. Orozco J. 32. Baumgartl T. (C) 27. Fall F. 6. Wallem C. 18. Brunet C. 8. Durkin C. 20. Rafael Santos 7. Ostrak T. 9. Rafael Navarro 11. Becher S.
Substitutes
23. Booth Z. 15. Glad J. 25. Guske C. 39. Hezarkhani A. 29. Junqua S. 98. Katranis A. 19. Piol A. 31. Stajduhar M. (G) 2. Yedlin D.
42. Downs D. 24. Edelman D. 19. Holse C. 77. Jeong S. 59. Joyner M. 5. MacNaughton L. 4. Mbacke M. 31. Olivares C. (G) 21. Polvara D.
Coaches
Mastroeni P.
Damet Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Rafael Santos 🟨,
29', Ostrak T. 🟨,
40', Quinton P. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Solans S. ⚽, Guilavogui M. (A),
43', Ostrak T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Durkin C. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
46', Wallem C. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Marczuk D. ⚽, De Fougerolles L. (A),
59', 3 - 0, Solans S. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A),
60', Quinton P. ↓, Glad J. ↑,
64', Sanabria J. 🟨,
67', Guilavogui M. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
67', Caliskan N. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
68', Solans S. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
71', Brunet C. ↓, Edelman D. ↑,
71', Becher S. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
80', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Hezarkhani A. ↑,
84', Rafael Navarro ↓, Mbacke M. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 2nd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
St. Louis City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2.
Salt Lake has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
St. Louis City shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Salt Lake could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Salt Lake: Glad J.
(Groin Injury)
Luna D.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Salt Lake: Arias J. J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dillon G.
(Foot Injury)
Eneli E.
(Knee Injury)
Engel L.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for St. Louis City: Burki R.
(Head Injury)
Hiebert K.
(Hip Injury)
Matan A.
(Injury).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Salt Lake has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Salt Lake against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:7 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
St. Louis City: 4.62% Real Salt Lake: 0.63%
Last Results with these Odds
Real Salt Lake - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Rafael Cabral (C) 
Marczuk D. 
De Fougerolles L. 
Quinton P. 
Henry K. 
Sanabria J. 
Lobjanidze S. 
Spierings S. 
Caliskan N. 
Guilavogui M. 
Solans S. 
Fall F. 
Wallem C. 
Ostrak T. 
Katranis A. 
Piol A. 
Holse C. 
Jeong S. 
Damet Y. 
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