Match Info

MLS

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN 5
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	EA Sports FC


	Austin FC		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.6	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.67	3.55	2.72
	2.6	3.46	2.65	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.3
	2.59	3.44	2.64	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)	2.57 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
35.8%

Draw
27.4%

Vancouver Whitecaps
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vancouver will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 17. Gallagher J. 5. Svatok O. 4. Hines-Ike B. 29. Guilherme Biro 33. Wolff O. 6. Sanchez I. 14. Sabovic B. 11. Bukari O. 9. Vazquez B. 10. Uzuni M.	1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 4. Veselinovic R. 33. Blackmon T. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 20. Cubas A. 45. Vite P. 11. Sabbi E. 24. White B. 22. Ahmed A.
Substitutes
32. Burton M. 18. Cascante J. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 23. Kolmanic Z. 7. Obrian J. 21. Rubio D. 2. Thomas R.	3. Adekugbe S. 59. Badwal J. 32. Boehmer I. (G) 27. Bovalina G. 12. Halbouni B. 19. Kreilach D. 2. Laborda M. 7. Nelson J. 13. Priso-Mbongue R.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Sorensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ocampo E. 🟨,
39', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Johnson T. ↓, Adekugbe S. ↑,
46', Ocampo E. ↓, Laborda M. ↑,
66', Vite P. ↓, Priso-Mbongue R. ↑,
66', Sabbi E. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
68', Sanchez I. 🟨,
77', Wolff O. 🟨,
81', Wolff O. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
81', Vazquez B. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
90', Uzuni M. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 0.

Austin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vancouver is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Austin: Desler M. (Hamstring Injury) Pereira D. (Hip Injury) Taylor R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Vancouver: Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Rios D. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Muscle Injury) Laborda M. (Hamstring Injury) MacKenzie L. (Leg Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
14.05.25	Austin FC - Atlanta United	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Cincinnati - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Austin FC - El Paso Locomotive	3:2 ✺
MLS
03.05.25	Austin FC - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLWLL
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
11.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Real Salt Lake	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
30.04.25	Inter Miami - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
MLS
27.04.25	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
24.04.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Inter Miami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
12.04.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC	5:1
31.08.24	Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:1
04.05.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC	0:0
12.07.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC	2:1
15.04.23	Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0
01.10.22	Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC	2:0
23.04.22	Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0

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