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Current Win Probability
Austin II 50%
Draw 25.1%
San Jose Earthquakes 2 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
25.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
24.5%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
San Jose Earthquakes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Austin II - San Jose Earthquakes 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Farrar C. (G) 14. Ciesla D. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 3. Dobruna D. 48. Ayala C. 6. Barro D. (C) 16. Ruszel M. 7. Abarca D. 22. Sall I. 21. Dobrijevic S.
91. Lambe C. (G) 73. Heisner J. 66. Cano A. (C) 71. Dossmann N. 99. de Flores S. 38. Mendoza E. 35. Rajagopal R. 29. Spivey K. 90. Bohane Z. 70. Allen T. 52. Donnery J.
Substitutes
18. Cayelli P. 41. Chamberlain L. 9. Danciutiu V. 37. Feliciano L. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Gryczewski P. 24. Hot K. 45. Klinger R. 13. Lauta E. (G)
89. Avalos M. (G) 88. Baptista D. 97. Boyce W. 58. Bracken Serra G. 74. Kwende M. 62. Lorenti D. 77. Spivey J. 50. Torres J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Rajagopal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Sall I. ↓, Feliciano L. ↑,
64', Dobruna D. 🟨,
64', Rajagopal R. ↓, Bracken Serra G. ↑,
70', Ayala C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
70', Dobruna D. ↓, Cayelli P. ↑,
70', Ruszel M. ↓, Hot K. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Abarca D. ⚽, Cayelli P. (A),
76', de Flores S. ↓, Kwende M. ↑,
76', Spivey K. ↓, Spivey J. ↑,
78', Dossmann N. 🟨,
80', Mendoza E. 🟨,
84', Barro D. 🟨,
85', Mendoza E. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
85', Bohane Z. ↓, Boyce W. ↑,
90+2', Abarca D. ↓, Danciutiu V. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Austin II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
San Jose 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Austin II is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Austin II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.