The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 37.2%
Draw 27.5%
Austin II 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.2%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
25.8%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Portland Timbers 2 - Austin II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (G) 16. Jura S. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 73. Izoita E. 46. Enriquez V. 37. Santos N. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 39. Griffith C. 47. Cervantes D.
13. Lauta E. (G) 14. Ciesla D. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 18. Cayelli P. 48. Ayala C. 6. Barro D. 16. Ruszel M. 7. Abarca D. 21. Dobrijevic S. 37. Feliciano L.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 53. Ferguson C. 64. Izoita J. 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H. 51. Nelson M. (G) 57. VanVoorhis B. 48. Zendejas N.
41. Chamberlain L. 3. Dobruna D. 1. Farrar C. (G) 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Gryczewski P. 24. Hot K. 45. Klinger R. 22. Sall I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Griffith C. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Dobrijevic S. ⚽, Bery J. (A),
17', Ciesla D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Izoita E. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
50', Barro D. ↓, Chamberlain L. ↑,
50', Ciesla D. ↓, Dobruna D. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Cervantes D. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Ayala C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
63', Feliciano L. ↓, Sall I. ↑,
68', Ruszel M. ↓, Hot K. ↑,
77', Santos N. ↓, VanVoorhis B. ↑,
77', Cervantes D. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
84', Griffith C. ↓, Cruthers C. ↑,
88', Bery J. 🟨,
90+3', Joseph S. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Dobrijevic S. 🟨,
90+6', VanVoorhis B. 🟥,
90+6', Abarca D. 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 1, Bamford A. ⚽, Lund N. (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Portland 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Austin II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
Portland 2 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Austin II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Portland 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Austin II - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.