The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes 2 47.3%
Draw 23.8%
Tacoma Defiance 28.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
24.6%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
23.2%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
The chances for Tacoma Defiance have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Tacoma Defiance Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Crockford N. (G) 73. Heisner J. 71. Dossmann N. 66. Cano A. 88. Baptista D. 35. Rajagopal R. 38. Mendoza E. 29. Spivey K. 90. Bohane Z. 70. Allen T. 99. de Flores S.
50. Anchor M. (G) 47. Alvarez D. 53. Sandnes G. 35. Lopez A. 84. Gaffney C. 32. Gnaulati X. 40. O'Neill M. 48. Phoenix C. 59. Bell M. 42. Jauregui R. 81. Bronnik M.
Substitutes
97. Boyce W. 58. Bracken Serra G. 52. Donnery J. 74. Kwende M. 91. Lambe C. (G) 62. Lorenti D. 77. Spivey J. 50. Torres J.
38. Bonilla K. 80. Brown D. 30. Carli E. 97. Kitafuji S. 99. Lucero L. 55. Rios J. 34. Robles D. 41. Shour M. (G) 58. Winslow J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Alvarez D. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Allen T. ⚽, Heisner J. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Bohane Z. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 2 - 1, Jauregui R. ⚽, Bell M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Phoenix C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
46', Alvarez D. ↓, Winslow J. ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Jauregui R. ⚽, Gaffney C. (A),
61', 3 - 2, Allen T. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
62', Baptista D. ↓, Kwende M. ↑,
62', Allen T. ↓, Spivey J. ↑,
70', Bell M. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
72', Gaffney C. 🟨,
73', Mendoza E. 🟨,
76', Spivey K. ↓, Bracken Serra G. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, O'Neill M. ⚽, Gaffney C. (A),
81', Heisner J. ↓, Boyce W. ↑,
86', Bronnik M. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
89', Gaffney C. ↓, Bonilla K. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
102', O'Neill M. 🟨,
103', Gnaulati X. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
103', 4 - 3, Spivey J. ⚽,
110', 4 - 4, Lucero L. ⚽,
115', de Flores S. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Carli E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Donnery J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Robles D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mendoza E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bonilla K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bracken Serra G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Winslow J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bohane Z. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose 2 won 1.
San Jose 2 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Tacoma have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, San Jose 2 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with San Jose 2 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, San Jose 2 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:18 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Jose 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).
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Crockford N. (G) 
Cano A. 
Anchor M. (G) 
Phoenix C. 
Bell M. 
Donnery J. 
Kitafuji S. 
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