Match Info

2. Liga - Round 29

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Max-Aicher-Stadion (Salzburg)

Referee: Greinecker M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Austria Salzburg		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.9
	4.04	3.65	1.93
	3.67	3.66	1.93	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.85
	3.88	3.6	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.59)	3.52 ↑ (3.42)	1.89 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Salzburg
24.3%

Draw
26.5%

Austria Lustenau
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

27.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

27.9%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Austria Salzburg - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Austria Salzburg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Austria Lustenau will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria Lustenau: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kalman M. (G) 20. Eder M. 24. Aigner S. 55. Meisl L. (C) 4. Kahrimanovic D. 14. Gruber C. 10. Sorda M. 2. Rohrmoser T. 8. Cosgun D. 45. Bares D. 7. Rieder F.	27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 31. Maak M. (C) 18. Voisine R. 26. Ibertsberger L. 6. Wade M. 19. Delaye S. 23. Grabher P. 99. Lahne J. 9. Jastremski L. 61. Ismailcebioglu H.
Substitutes
23. Collins M. 18. Huber B. 19. Lukasser Weitlaner N. 96. Nesler-Taubl S. (G) 80. Parkadze L. 12. Sandmayr L. 5. Theiner M.	30. Bohm P. (G) 22. Bouchenna M. 24. Diarra S. 8. Gorzel N. 21. Rouquette A. 12. Vucenovic M. 3. William Rodrigues
Coaches
Schaider C.	Mader M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Sorda M. ⚽, Cosgun D. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Bares D. ⚽, Gruber C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ibertsberger L. ↓, Bouchenna M. ↑,
46', Ismailcebioglu H. ↓, Rouquette A. ↑,
53', Rieder F. 🟨,
55', Kalman M. 🟨,
55', Bares D. 🟨,
55', Voisine R. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Bouchenna M. ⚽, Jastremski L. (A),
63', Bouchenna M. 🟨,
64', Lahne J. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
66', Cosgun D. ↓, Lukasser Weitlaner N. ↑,
71', Rohrmoser T. ↓, Sandmayr L. ↑,
83', Bares D. ↓, Parkadze L. ↑,
83', Sorda M. ↓, Theiner M. ↑,
83', Wade M. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
84', Lukasser Weitlaner N. 🟨,
87', Meisl L. 🟨,
89', Delaye S. ↓, Gorzel N. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Voisine R. ⚽, Grabher P. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Austria Salzburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Austria Lustenau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Austria Lustenau is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria Salzburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	A. Salzburg	7	3	1	3	14:12	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Austria Salzburg
Austrian 2 Liga
02.05.26	Sturm Graz B - Austria Salzburg	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Austria Salzburg - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Austria Wien II - Austria Salzburg	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Austria Salzburg - Admira	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	SPG Wels - Austria Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTT
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian 2 Liga
03.05.26	Austria Lustenau - Bregenz	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Lustenau	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Austria Lustenau - Rapid Wien II	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Austria Lustenau - St. Pölten	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Austria Wien II - Austria Lustenau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
22.11.25	Austria Lustenau - Austria Salzburg	0:0
20.05.16	Austria Salzburg - Austria Lustenau	1:1
08.04.16	Austria Lustenau - Austria Salzburg	4:1
06.11.15	Austria Salzburg - Austria Lustenau	1:3
11.09.15	Austria Lustenau - Austria Salzburg	0:2

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