The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austria Salzburg 22.3%
Draw 23.3%
St. Pölten 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
20.2%
61.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.6%
19.6%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pölten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pölten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Austria Salzburg - St. Pölten Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Nesler-Taubl S. (G) 24. Aigner S. 55. Meisl L. (C) 37. Marusic G. 4. Kahrimanovic D. 11. Lipczinski P. 45. Bares D. 8. Cosgun D. 71. Gebauer C. 12. Sandmayr L. 77. Bijelic D.
1. Knett C. (G) 19. Riegler D. 15. Skogen S. 2. Thesker S. (C) 23. Carlson D. 7. Amoah W. 10. Stendera M. 34. Krasniqi L. 22. Mane E. H. 30. Young R. 11. Hausjell M.
Substitutes
7. Gunes T. 1. Kalman M. (G) 80. Parkadze L. 9. Pellegrini T. 10. Sorda M. 5. Theiner M. 6. Zia R.
18. Altersberger T. 90. Dursun F. 33. Ferstl V. 14. Kasparek D. 21. Kleinbruckner M. 6. Kurt C. 32. Kurz M. (G)
Coaches
Schaider C.
Sekerlioglu C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Kahrimanovic D. 🟨,
25', Aigner S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Riegler D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Gebauer C. ⚽, Cosgun D. (A),
66', Mane E. H. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
70', Lipczinski P. ↓, Sorda M. ↑,
76', Kahrimanovic D. 🟨,
79', Cosgun D. ↓, Theiner M. ↑,
79', Riegler D. ↓, Ferstl V. ↑,
82', Krasniqi L. 🟨,
84', Amoah W. ↓, Altersberger T. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Hausjell M. ⚽, Altersberger T. (A),
90+6', 1 - 2, Young R. ⚽, Thesker S. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Austria Salzburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
St. Pölten is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
St. Pölten may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, St. Pölten is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 1.3:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).