Match Info

2. Liga - Round 15

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Huber-Arena (Wels)

Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	SPG Wels		St. Pölten

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.65	1.68
	5.14	3.86	1.66
	4.00	3.78	1.80	Watch
	5.01	3.64	1.67	Watch
	5	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (4)	3.74 ↓ (3.78)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
19.6%

Draw
25%

St. Pölten
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

20.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPG Wels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pölten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

SPG Wels - St. Pölten Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pölten (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Users Predictions: St. Pölten will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Schrocker K. (G) 4. Feyrer S. (C) 3. Luan 28. Gobara P. 42. Lechner F. 77. Thurnwald M. 45. Sylla S. 22. Conte K. 20. Malinowski S. 33. Bosnjak A. 9. Gashi A.	32. Kurz M. (G) 90. Dursun F. 10. Stendera M. 5. Buchegger L. 15. Skogen S. 23. Carlson D. (C) 8. Messerer C. 18. Altersberger T. 30. Young R. 11. Hausjell M. 7. Amoah W.
Substitutes
12. Brugger M. 1. Cechal M. (G) 11. Mayr A. 6. Muller P. 38. Obermuller P. 8. Radics A. 7. Schwaighofer J.	77. Barlov D. 33. Ferstl V. 27. Hodzic D. 6. Kurt C. 2. Thesker S. 41. Vollnhofer T. 17. Zilic M.
Coaches
Heinle C.	Sekerlioglu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Schrocker K. 🟨,
32', Stendera M. (Pen),
35', Amoah W. 🟨,
41', Messerer C. 🟨,
45+2', Conte K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Luan ↓, Obermuller P. ↑,
48', Lechner F. 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Altersberger T. ⚽,
58', Lechner F. ↓, Brugger M. ↑,
67', Sylla S. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Bosnjak A. (Pen),
85', Amoah W. ↓, Ferstl V. ↑,
85', Hausjell M. ↓, Barlov D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

SPG Wels has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. Pölten's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, St. Pölten is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
22.11.25	Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels	0:3 ✺
07.11.25	SPG Wels - First Vienna	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	SPG Wels - Bregenz	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Stripfing - SPG Wels	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	SPG Wels - Rapid Wien II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTTLW
- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
23.11.25	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Admira - St. Pölten	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	St. Pölten - Floridsdorfer AC	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.10.25	St. Pölten - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
24.10.25	Liefering - St. Pölten	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	SPG Wels - St. Pölten	2:3 penalties

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