Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday


	Austria Wien		Aris

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	3.25
	1.84	3.9	3.2
	1.85	4.03	3.31
	1.88	3.9	3.1
	1.75	4.33	3.88	Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.42)	3.95 ↑ (3.83)	3.36 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Wien
49.6%

Draw
23.1%

Aris
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

24%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

23.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria Wien's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Wien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Austria Wien - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aris will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fruchtl C. (G) 23. Braunoder M. 36. Fitz D. 17. Gruber A. 46. Handl J. 77. Jukic A. 40. Meisl M. 24. Plavotic T. 11. Polster M. 26. Ranftl R. 25. Tabakovic H. (C)	1. Vana (G) 80. Babicka S. 7. Bengtsson L. 31. Brorsson F. 14. Gomis Y. 21. Mayambela M. 30. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 22. Nikolic V. 23. Struski K. 72. Urosevic S. 20. Yago S.

Preview

Austria is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aris is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Austria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Austria have a series of home games.

Recently Aris have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Wien
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Austria Wien - Galatasaray	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Austria Wien - Horn	5:1 ✺
05.07.23	Austria Wien - Floridsdorfer AC	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
11.06.23	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	5:0 ✺
08.06.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWT
- Aris Thessaloniki
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	4:0 ✺
14.07.23	Sturm Graz - Aris	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Aris	2:0 ✺
07.07.23	Metta - Aris	0:3 ✺
05.07.23	Auda Riga - Aris	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

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