Match Info

AUSTRIA: Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Planet Pure Stadion (Lustenau)

Referee: Harkam A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport


	Austria Lustenau		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5	3.8	1.63
	5	4	1.63
	5.36	3.86	1.69
	5.56	3.99	1.65
	4.8	3.9	1.57
	5.05	4.05	1.65	Watch
	5.2	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↓ (5.17)	3.89 ↓ (3.94)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Lustenau
18.4%

Draw
24.2%

Austria Wien
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

24.2%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.7%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Austria Lustenau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: Austria Wien will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Schierl D. (G) 31. Maak M. (C) 3. Boateng K. 13. Lins M. 28. Anderson 33. Tiefenbach D. 23. Grabher P. 7. Gmeiner F. 19. Bobzien B. 10. Fridrikas L. 15. Cisse N.	1. Fruchtl C. (G) 66. Martins M. 24. Plavotic T. 40. Meisl M. 26. Ranftl R. 19. Potzmann M. 41. Kratzig F. 21. Guenouche H. 30. Fischer M. (C) 17. Gruber A. 9. Huskovic M.
Substitutes
25. Chato P. 22. Diaby Y. 20. Gorzel N. 21. Helac A. (G) 5. Matzler L. 8. Rhein T. 70. Surdanovic S.	10. Asllani F. 15. Ilic A. 99. Kos M. (G) 7. Saljic S. 33. Schmidt A. 27. Vucic R. 37. Wels M.
Coaches
Heraf A.	Wimmer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Anderson ↓, Gorzel N. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Grabher P. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Fridrikas L. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),
40', Fridrikas L. ↓, Rhein T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gruber A. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,
57', Potzmann M. ↓, Wels M. ↑,
69', Meisl M. 🟨,
78', Guenouche H. ↓, Vucic R. ↑,
79', Fischer M. 🟨,
82', Plavotic T. ↓, Saljic S. ↑,
82', Huskovic M. ↓, Schmidt A. ↑,
88', Cisse N. ↓, Chato P. ↑,
88', Bobzien B. ↓, Surdanovic S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Austria Lustenau won 0.

Austria Lustenau is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Austria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Austria is a favorite.

There will not play in Austria Lustenau: Rafael Devisate (Injury)

There will not play in Austria: El Sheiwi Z. (Injury) Fitz D. (Yellow Cards) Handl J. (Yellow Cards) Raguz M. (Injury) Wustinger F. (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Austria Lustenau won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Austria Lustenau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Lustenau
Austrian Bundesliga
27.04.24	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Lustenau	0:0 ✺
23.04.24	Austria Lustenau - Wolfsberger	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Austria Lustenau - Rheindorf Altach	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLTLT
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
26.04.24	Austria Wien - Rheindorf Altach	2:2 ✺
23.04.24	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Wolfsberger - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
06.04.24	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	1:1
04.11.23	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	1:0
06.08.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	0:2
11.06.23	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	5:0
08.06.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	1:1
19.02.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	1:0
03.09.22	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	2:2

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