Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Superbet Arena - Giulesti (Bucharest)

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Dynamo Kyiv		Aris

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.8
	1.87	3.55	4.05
	1.94	3.5	3.8
	1.93	3.49	3.95
	1.87	3.52	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	3.96 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
49.5%

Draw
26.9%

Aris
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.9%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	2.1%	8.3%

Dynamo Kyiv - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Kyiv will win (43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.94% – 98.22%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bushchan G. (G) 24. Tymchyk O. 25. Dyachuk M. 34. Syrota O. 44. Dubinchak V. 7. Yarmolenko A. 5. Sydorchuk S. (C) 10. Shaparenko M. 91. Voloshyn N. 29. Buyalskyy V. 11. Vanat V.	94. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 33. Montoya M. 4. Fabiano (C) 22. Odubajo M. 3. Ferrari F. 20. Djurasek N. 30. Jules J. 16. Darida V. 32. Karlsson D.M. 80. Moron L. 17. Palma L.
Substitutes
18. Andriyevski O. 77. Benito 40. Bilovar K. 6. Brazhko V. 30. Diallo S. 22. Kabaev V. 20. Karavaev O. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 9. Parris K. 8. Shepelev V. 37. Tsarenko A. 2. Vivcharenko K.	7. Christodoulopoulos L. 23. Julian (G) 13. Matarrita R. 27. Menendez J. 77. Panagidis M. 24. Pavicic D. 10. Rupp L. 12. Zamora A.
Coaches
Lucescu M.	Terzis A.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Dynamo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aris is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dynamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dynamo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Aris - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.23	Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv	2:4 ✺
30.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Mynai	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Al-Hilal - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW
- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Aris - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Aris - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Aris	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Aris - Ararat-Armenia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.08.23	BATE Borisov - Aris	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Aris - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	4:0

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