Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Autol |
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San Marcial |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.72 |
2.98 |
2.42 |
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3.07 |
2.92 |
2.4 |
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2.99 |
2.96 |
2.41 |
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2.8 |
3 |
2.38 |
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3.02 |
2.9 |
2.35 |
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3 |
2.9 |
2.37 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.93 ↑ (2.54) |
2.94 ↓ (3.04) |
2.39 ↓ (2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Autol 31% | Draw 30.9% | San Marcial 38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Autol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Autol than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Autol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-4.4%)Autol - San Marcial Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Reinaldo A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).Autol is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, San Marcial has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;