Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Anguiano		San Marcial

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.35	7.5
	1.34	4.54	8.48
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.33	4.25	8.7
	1.3	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	4.38 ↓ (4.47)	8.24 ↑ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anguiano
68.3%

Draw
20.7%

San Marcial
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

20.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.3%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anguiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Anguiano - San Marcial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Nalda Flores R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Anguiano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Marcial is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Anguiano is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	San Marcial	8	4	3	1	11:5	6	15
8	Anguiano	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Anguiano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
04.01.26	La Calzada - Anguiano	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Anguiano - Varea	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Anguiano	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Anguiano - Autol	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Berceo - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWT
- ACD San Marcial
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
04.01.26	San Marcial - Haro Deportivo	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Agoncillo - San Marcial	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	San Marcial - Villegas	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	San Marcial - Comillas	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vianés - San Marcial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLL

Anguiano - San Marcial