Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)


	Auxerre		Annecy

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.44	4.73	7.67
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.41	4.7	7.2	Watch
	1.42	4.6	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)	4.65 ↑ (3.83)	7.03 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
66.4%

Draw
20.2%

Annecy
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auxerre's performance.

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auxerre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	23.5%	11.8%

Auxerre - Annecy Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Annecy will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 2. Dagba C. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 97. Raveloson R. 42. Owusu E. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 45. Onaiwu A. 19. Aye F.	16. Callens T. (G) 6. Lajugie F. 14. Mouanga K. 13. Jean G. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 17. Pajot V. 5. Kashi A. (C) 12. Testud K. 27. Shamal S. 10. Caddy W. 29. Bengueddoudj Z.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 13. Akpa C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 26. Joly P. 11. Maddy E. 17. Sinayoko L.	20. Barry Y. 41. Delphis T. 1. Escales F. (G) 8. Goncalves J. 18. Kandil N. 28. Larose A. 19. Ntamack S.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Guyot L.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
23.09.23	Troyes - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Auxerre - Pau	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Bordeaux - Auxerre	2:4 ✺
26.08.23	Auxerre - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Angers - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTT
- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
23.09.23	Pau - Annecy	0:3 ✺
16.09.23	Annecy - Troyes	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Concarneau - Annecy	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Annecy - Dunkerque	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTTW

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