Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Strasbourg		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.9
	1.72	3.94	4.7
	1.71	3.93	4.59	Watch
	1.72	4.11	4.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	3.99 ↑ (3.83)	4.77 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
56.1%

Draw
23.9%

Auxerre
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.9%	13.7%	1.4%

Strasbourg - Auxerre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Strasbourg (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Strasbourg (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (62 of 73 users predict this - 84.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.72% – 93.14%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 3.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 2. Omobamidele A. 23. Sarr M. 42. Ouattara A. 83. Luis R. 32. Barco V. 11. Nanasi S. 7. Moreira D. 20. Godo M. 9. Panichelli J.	16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 20. Diomande S. 22. Oppegard F. 7. Casimir J. 17. El Azzouzi O. 42. Owusu E. (C) 92. Akpa C. 10. Sinayoko L. 18. Diousse A. 23. Osman I.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 50. Bajic S. (G) 3. Chilwell B. 29. El Mourabet S. 19. Enciso J. 41. Nzingoula R. 16. Paez K. 77. Sobol E.	21. Coulibaly L. 5. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 36. Devernois T. 34. Matondo R. 31. Rodin R. 4. Sierralta F. 27. Sy L. 41. Zaddy Y.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ouattara A. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
46', Luis R. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Panichelli J. ⚽, Nanasi S. (A),
55', 2 - 0, Nanasi S. ⚽, Barco V. (A),
60', 3 - 0, Barco V. ⚽,
62', Moreira D. ↓, Chilwell B. ↑,
62', Barco V. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
66', Panichelli J. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
70', Diomande S. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
70', Diousse A. ↓, Danois K. ↑,
70', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
83', Sinayoko L. ↓, Rodin R. ↑,
90+2', Matondo R. 🟨,
90+4', Doue G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 4.

Recent performances by Strasbourg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Auxerre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Red Card) Emegha E. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Mara S. (Loan agreement) Mensah G. (Personal Reasons) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Amo-Ameyaw S. (Injury) Chilwell B. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Auxerre - the odds 4.8 are the expected chance of winning is 19.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Strasbourg - Angers	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Slovan Bratislava - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTTWW
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
26.10.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Auxerre - Lens	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.03.25	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:1
05.01.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:1
19.03.23	Strasbourg - Auxerre	2:0
27.08.22	Auxerre - Strasbourg	1:0
French Ligue 2
20.03.17	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:2
21.10.16	Strasbourg - Auxerre	2:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
23.08.16	Auxerre - Strasbourg	2:0

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