Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Rainville N. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Auxerre		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.61	7.45
	1.4	3.9	6
	1.45	4.55	6.75	Watch
	1.43	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	4.43 ↑ (3.92)	6.75 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
65.1%

Draw
21.1%

Pau
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

23.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auxerre's performance.

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Auxerre - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 19. Aye F. 7. Hein G. 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 14. Mensah G. 45. Onaiwu A. 42. Owusu E. 5. Pellenard T. 10. Perrin G. 97. Raveloson R.	1. Kamara B. (G) 22. Ahoussou A. 21. Beusnard S. 24. Boto K. 10. Boutaib K. 19. Kante 2. Koudou T. 13. Mouton L. 25. Ruiz J. 8. Saivet H. (C) 7. Sylla M.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 13. Akpa C. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 11. Maddy E. 17. Sinayoko L.	11. Bassouamina M. 17. Batisse A. . Chahiri M. 6. D'Almeida S. 40. Jeannin M. (G) 4. Kouassi L.X. 28. Pirringuel L.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Usai N.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Auxerre is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
02.09.23	Bordeaux - Auxerre	2:4 ✺
26.08.23	Auxerre - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Angers - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Auxerre - Amiens	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Valenciennes - Auxerre	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTLW
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
02.09.23	Pau - Rodez	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Guingamp - Pau	4:0 ✺
19.08.23	Pau - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Caen - Pau	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Pau - Bordeaux	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.04.22	Pau - Auxerre	1:4
06.11.21	Auxerre - Pau	4:1
20.04.21	Pau - Auxerre	3:0
18.12.20	Auxerre - Pau	2:1

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