Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 9

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Avaí		Concórdia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	4.5	8.8
	1.26	4.93	13.15
	1.28	4.66	11.04	Watch
	1.3	4.54	11.1
	1.31	4.5	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	4.63 ↑ (3.83)	10.58 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avaí
71.4%

Draw
19.9%

Concórdia
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

23.8%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

23.1%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.

Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concórdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Avaí - Concórdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 40. Burbano R. 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 7. Hygor 16. Jamerson 8. Joao Vitor 95. Jonathan Costa 33. Mario Sergio 35. Pedrao 9. Vagner Love 77. Ze Ricardo	1. Alexandre Villa (G) 9. Eli Junior 4. Felipe Siedekum 5. Foguinho 2. Gabriel Biteco 8. Indio 7. Lipe Lenger 11. Patryck Annes 3. Pedro Cella 10. Pericles 6. Rafael Augusto (C)
Substitutes
78. Andrey 99. Cleber 76. Devid 20. Gaspar 1. Igor Bohn (G) 93. Judson 63. Marcos Vinicius 66. Quaresma 37. Rigley 17. Tadesco N. 41. Thayllon 34. Wanderson	14. Caio Mores 18. Felipe Rangel 19. Kenzo 15. Luan 13. Matheus Baseggio 16. Pedro M. 12. Tibolla (G) 17. Wilgner 20. William

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Pericles ↓, Kenzo ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Mario Sergio ⚽,
27', Rafael Augusto ↓, Wilgner ↑,
31', 1 - 1, Kenzo ⚽,
41', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Joao Vitor ⚽,
53', Jamerson ↓, Quaresma ↑,
53', Burbano R. ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
53', Eli Junior ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
59', Patryck Annes 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Joao Vitor ⚽,
67', Indio ↓, Pedro M. ↑,
67', Patryck Annes ↓, Caio Mores ↑,
70', Vagner Love ↓, Rigley ↑,
76', Hygor ↓, Cleber ↑,
84', Joao Vitor ↓, Tadesco N. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Avaí is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Avaí won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 0.9:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
09.02.25	Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:0 ✺
05.02.25	Hercílio Luz - Avaí	0:3 ✺
01.02.25	Avaí - Joinville	3:0 ✺
29.01.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Avaí - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTL
- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
09.02.25	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
06.02.25	Concórdia - Caravaggio	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Figueirense - Concórdia	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Concórdia - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.03.24	Concórdia - Avaí	0:1
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
15.11.23	Concórdia - Avaí	2:1
07.11.23	Avaí - Concórdia	0:1
03.09.23	Avaí - Concórdia	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
25.02.23	Avaí - Concórdia	1:0
19.02.22	Avaí - Concórdia	2:1
11.04.21	Avaí - Concórdia	0:0

Upcoming Matches