Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Avangard Kursk		Krasnoye Znamya

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.15	3.2	2.85
	2.23	3.41	2.98
	2.25	3.28	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.25)	3.3 (3.3)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
41%

Draw
27.6%

Krasnoye Znamya
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

20.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Krasnoye Znamya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avangard Kursk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnoye Znamya than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnoye Znamya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avangard Kursk - Krasnoye Znamya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

Avangard Kursk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Znamya Noginsk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
11.10.20	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
27.09.20	Saturn Ramenskoye - Avangard Kursk	5:0 ✺
20.09.20	Sokol Saratov - Avangard Kursk	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Avangard Kursk - Sakhalin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLTT
- Krasnoye Znamya Noginsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
11.10.20	Krasnoye Znamya - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
05.10.20	Metallurg Vidnoe - Krasnoye Znamya	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Sakhalin - Krasnoye Znamya	0:0 ✺
21.09.20	Khimki 2 - Krasnoye Znamya	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
17.09.20	Krasnoye Znamya - Akhmat Grozny	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTWL

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