Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Saturn Ramenskoye		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.18	3.55
	2.07	3.45	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saturn Ramenskoye
44.1%

Draw
28.1%

Avangard Kursk
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

20.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saturn Ramenskoye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avangard Kursk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Avangard Kursk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saturn will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Saturn won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Saturn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
12.09.20	Saturn Ramenskoye - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
06.09.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2 ✺
29.08.20	Saturn Ramenskoye - Metallurg Vidnoe	1:0 ✺
23.08.20	Strogino Moskva - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	Salyut Belgorod - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTWLL
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
20.09.20	Sokol Saratov - Avangard Kursk	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Avangard Kursk - Sakhalin	0:0 ✺
29.08.20	Avangard Kursk - Khimki 2	3:2 ✺
23.08.20	Kvant Obninsk - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.20	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Center
23.10.16	Avangard Kursk - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2
28.07.16	Saturn Ramenskoye - Avangard Kursk	1:1

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