Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Avangard Kursk		Krasnyy Smolensk

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.4
	2.2	4.15	2.4
	2.45	3.35	2.35
	2.46	4.08	2.38
	2.33	3.8	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)	3.74 ↑ (3.43)	2.41 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
37.8%

Draw
24.4%

Krasnyy Smolensk
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

26.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

18.8%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Krasnyy Smolensk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avangard Kursk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnyy Smolensk than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnyy Smolensk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avangard Kursk - Krasnyy Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
03.11.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
29.10.20	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Salyut Belgorod - Avangard Kursk	3:3 ✺
18.10.20	Avangard Kursk - Krasnoye Znamya	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTTL
- Krasnyy Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
03.11.20	Krasnyy Smolensk - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
29.10.20	Metallurg Vidnoe - Krasnyy Smolensk	1:4 ✺
24.10.20	Sakhalin - Krasnyy Smolensk	4:0 ✺
19.10.20	Khimki 2 - Krasnyy Smolensk	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Krasnyy Smolensk - Kvant Obninsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWW

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