Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Avangard Kursk		Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.16)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	3.75 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
49.7%

Draw
26%

Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avangard Kursk's performance.

Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Avangard Kursk - Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Knyazev D. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 1 - 1, Altukhov N. ⚽,
45+1', Knyazev D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+9', Sapelnikov D. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Sapelnikov D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kozyrev V. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vnukov V. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gershun E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Furtsev L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Zakharov D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pospelov I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Borisov S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Altukhov N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Khrebtov A. Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Avangard Kursk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kristall-MEZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Avangard Kursk has had a series of home games.

Avangard Kursk might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Avangard Kursk - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Avangard Kursk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Avangard Kursk - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Avangard Kursk - Saturn Ramenskoye	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLW
- Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk
Russian Cup
28.07.26	Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk - Salyut Belgorod	3:0 ✺
24.09.25	Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:3 ✺
10.09.25	Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
20.08.25	Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk - Murom	3:2 ✺
05.08.25	Shumbrat Saransk - Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.2 WLWWW

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