Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 14

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelyabinsk		Rodina Moscow 2

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.3	4.2
	1.64	3.5	4.98
	1.6	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	4.73 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
55.1%

Draw
25.9%

Rodina Moscow 2
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Rodina Moscow 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Sugrobov V. (G) 87. Bozhenov K. 5. Gatin B. 33. Gorbachik V. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 70. Levin G. 11. Nosov A. 20. Pomerko A. 55. Rogochiy B. 77. Samoilov D.	31. Shakerov R. (G) 82. Alekhin A. 95. Chernyshev D. 30. Danilin M. 22. Gapechkin A. 29. Garibyan A. 69. Khezhev A. 15. Kochiev K. 66. Larionov E. 5. Mushkarin D. 79. Svintsov D.
Substitutes
47. Glukhov E. 10. Gruznov I. 19. Komissarov T. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 63. Nikitenkov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 22. Pokotylo D. 15. Pushkarev D. 8. Sokolov A. 13. Tushin A. 17. Uljanovskiy V. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)	33. Agaev A. 93. Antonov I. 25. Basyrov S. 97. Danilov T. 39. Kamyshenko A. 89. Maltsev R. 98. Pavlov N. (G) 76. Pridava N. 94. Slivin A. 73. Truntaev E. Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Pomerko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Khezhev A. ↓, Truntaev E. Y. ↑,
46', Pomerko A. ↓, Sokolov A. ↑,
51', Alekhin A. 🟨,
56', Svintsov D. 🟨,
57', Truntaev E. Y. 🟨,
60', Garibyan A. ↓, Kamyshenko A. ↑,
64', Levin G. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
65', Nosov A. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
67', Mushkarin D. ↓, Slivin A. ↑,
74', Samoilov D. ↓, Kosyanchuk R. ↑,
74', Gorbachik V. ↓, Uljanovskiy V. ↑,
76', Danilin M. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
76', Svintsov D. ↓, Maltsev R. ↑,
88', Gudkov Y. 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, Gudkov Y. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Chelyabinsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodina 2 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Chelyabinsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
18.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:5 ✺
11.05.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
23.04.25	Chelyabinsk - Veles Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWLW
- Rodina Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
18.05.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Rodina Moscow 2	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Kuban Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.04.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Chelyabinsk	2:0
08.06.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Chelyabinsk	1:3
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
14.10.23	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1
19.08.23	Rodina Moscow 2 - Chelyabinsk	1:0

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