Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Aveley		Herne Bay

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	3.7
	1.69	3.85	3.9
	1.76	4.18	4
	1.7	3.88	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)	3.92 ↑ (3.87)	3.91 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
53.3%

Draw
23.3%

Herne Bay
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

23.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Aveley - Herne Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Aveley is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Herne Bay has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Herne Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aveley will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.09.22	Bishops Stortford - Aveley	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Aveley - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Aveley - Corinthian-Casuals	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Wingate & Finchley - Aveley	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Aveley - Bognor Regis Town	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL
- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.22	Herne Bay - Hornchurch	0:6 ✺
13.09.22	Margate - Herne Bay	4:0 ✺
29.08.22	Folkestone Invicta - Herne Bay	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Herne Bay - Kingstonian	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Herne Bay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

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