Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Wingate & Finchley		Aveley

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.8
	3.59	3.88	1.74
	3.63	4.13	1.75	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.75	4.06	1.8
	3.25	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.16)	3.8 ↓ (3.84)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
25.7%

Draw
24%

Aveley
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.1%

24%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

23.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Wingate & Finchley - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Johnson M. ⚽,
60', 0 - 2, Hubbard F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Aveley is Qualified for Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs )

Recent performances by Wingate & Finchley have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aveley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aveley could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Wingate & Finchley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	24:23	1	20
17	Aveley	13	4	2	7	20:21	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Wingate & Finchley - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.11%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Aveley - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.93%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.26	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	4:0 ✺
06.04.26	Wingate & Finchley - St Albans City	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Whitehawk - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWTT
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.26	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	St Albans City - Aveley	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Aveley - Hashtag United	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Chatham Town - Aveley	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aveley - Cray Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	2:0
14.01.23	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	1:0
27.08.22	Wingate & Finchley - Aveley	1:2

Wingate & Finchley - Aveley