Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Podlasie Biała Podlaska

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.3
	1.35	4.82	6.08
	1.35	5	6.56	Watch
	1.37	4.5	6.71	Watch
	1.3	4.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	4.77 ↓ (4.8)	6.43 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
67.1%

Draw
18.9%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

18.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

17.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-1%)

Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Zuber M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Kopytov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 3.

Avia Świdnik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Biała Podlaska is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avia Świdnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Biała Podlaska has had a series of away games.

In this match, Avia Świdnik is the clear favorite.

We predict that Avia Świdnik will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10:13	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.04.26	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Avia Świdnik	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Avia Świdnik - Cracovia 2	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Avia Świdnik - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWT
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	1:2
19.04.25	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0
21.09.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	2:2
08.06.24	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:1
18.11.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	0:1
01.04.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	1:1
27.08.22	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:1

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