Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Podlasie Biała Podlaska		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.26	3.41	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 (2.26)	3.41 (3.41)	2.54 (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
39.2%

Draw
26%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Podlasie Biała Podlaska have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Siarka Tarnobrzeg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Mroz P. ⚽,
66', 0 - 2, Wyparlo M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Wnuk A. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Mroz J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Biała Podlaska has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Biała Podlaska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14:15	-1	14
13	Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10:13	-3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTT
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisłoka Dębica	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Star Starachowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2
31.05.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:2
09.11.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1
27.04.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4
30.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:2
14.05.22	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2
09.10.21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	4:0

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