Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Wiązownica

	1	X	2
	1.31	5	7
	1.53	4.2	4.7
	1.6	5.11	3.51
	1.56	4.94	4.07	Watch
	1.63	4.37	4.37	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.31)	4.64 ↓ (5)	4.73 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
60.5%

Draw
19.9%

Wiązownica
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.1%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

17%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avia Świdnik's form might have worsened.

Wiązownica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wiązownica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avia Świdnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiązownica than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wiązownica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avia Świdnik - Wiązownica Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Wiązownica (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wiązownica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Malecki P. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Kalinowski W. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Zuber M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 4 - 0, Rozmus K. ⚽,
86', 5 - 0, Malecki P. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 2.

Avia Świdnik has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wiązownica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avia Świdnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avia Świdnik is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Avia Świdnik will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.05.25	Lewart Lubartów - Avia Świdnik	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Wisła II Kraków - Avia Świdnik	1:4 ✺
19.04.25	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Avia Świdnik	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW
- KS Wiązownica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.05.25	Wiązownica - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Wiązownica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Unia Tarnów - Wiązownica	0:3 ✺
11.04.25	Wiązownica - Chełmianka Chełm	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.24	Wiązownica - Avia Świdnik	0:2
01.06.24	Wiązownica - Avia Świdnik	3:2
11.11.23	Avia Świdnik - Wiązownica	1:0
13.05.23	Wiązownica - Avia Świdnik	0:0
08.10.22	Avia Świdnik - Wiązownica	0:1
22.05.21	Avia Świdnik - Wiązownica	3:0
25.10.20	Wiązownica - Avia Świdnik	1:1

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