Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.55	5.9
	1.37	4.71	6.09
	1.36	4.68	6.87	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.93	Watch
	1.35	5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)	4.69 ↓ (5)	6.26 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
66.2%

Draw
19.3%

Czarni Połaniec
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

17.8%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

17.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Czarni Połaniec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Pigiel M. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Remenyuk A. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Ortiz J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Ortiz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 3, Ortiz J. ⚽,
54', 3 - 3, Kaminski S. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 3, Zbozien D. ⚽,
90+7', 5 - 3, Malecki P. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Avia Świdnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Avia Świdnik is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Avia Świdnik will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 2.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
08.11.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Avia Świdnik	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Avia Świdnik	0:4 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Flota Świnoujście	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTT
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
08.11.25	Czarni Połaniec - Korona Kielce 2	4:0 ✺
31.10.25	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Czarni Połaniec - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Czarni Połaniec - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.05.25	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	3:3
05.10.24	Czarni Połaniec - Avia Świdnik	4:3
20.04.24	Czarni Połaniec - Avia Świdnik	1:2
23.09.23	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	6:2
04.03.23	Czarni Połaniec - Avia Świdnik	4:2
06.08.22	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	3:1
14.05.22	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	1:0

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