Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Avispones de Chilpancingo		Cordobés

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.24	2.77
	2.31	3.32	2.84	Watch
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.31	3.22	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.68)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.83 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispones de Chilpancingo
39.5%

Draw
28.4%

Cordobés
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispones de Chilpancingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avispones de Chilpancingo's performance.

Cordobés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cordobés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispones de Chilpancingo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avispones de Chilpancingo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cordobés than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cordobés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avispones de Chilpancingo - Cordobés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 9)

Recent form of Chilpancingo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cordobés has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chilpancingo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispones de Chilpancingo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Halcones - Avispones de Chilpancingo	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Lobos ULMX	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Real Apodaca - Avispones de Chilpancingo	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Santiago	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLT
- Cordobés FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.26	Cordobés - Santiago	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Cordobés	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Cordobés - Canamy	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ciervos - Cordobés	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cordobés - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Cordobés - Avispones de Chilpancingo	3:1

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