Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 15

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Avenger park (Melbourne)


	Avondale		Bentleigh Greens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.95	6.1	Watch
	1.48	4.5	6.53
	1.37	4.66	7.73	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.44	3.78	7.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)	4.22 ↑ (4.09)	6.67 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avondale
64.4%

Draw
21.8%

Bentleigh Greens
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avondale's performance.

Bentleigh Greens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Avondale - Bentleigh Greens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Ott G. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Fornaroli B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 3.

Avondale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bentleigh Greens has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Avondale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bentleigh Greens has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avondale is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Avondale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
25.05.26	South Melbourne - Avondale	0:4 ✺
16.05.26	Hume City - Avondale	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Avondale - Altona Magic	5:1 ✺
02.05.26	Avondale - Caroline Springs George Cross	5:2 ✺
24.04.26	Heidelberg United - Avondale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWL
- Bentleigh Greens
Australian NPL Victoria
22.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Heidelberg United	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne City Youth	0:7 ✺
01.05.26	Bentleigh Greens - St Albans Dinamo	2:4 ✺
24.04.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Bentleigh Greens	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
20.02.26	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	2:0
19.08.23	Avondale - Bentleigh Greens	2:1
12.05.23	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	0:4
21.05.22	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	1:1
18.02.22	Avondale - Bentleigh Greens	3:1
03.07.21	Avondale - Bentleigh Greens	3:1
31.03.21	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	0:2

Avondale - Bentleigh Greens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide