Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 14

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne)


	South Melbourne		Avondale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	11	7.3	1.13
	10.5	8.44	1.13
	10.09	7.55	1.19	Watch
	11	8.5	1.14
	9.5	9.5	1.15	Watch
	19	9.5	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.85 ↓ (19)	8.47 ↓ (9.5)	1.13 ↑ (1.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
7.7%

Draw
10.8%

Avondale
81.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.6%

9.2%

86.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Avondale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

South Melbourne - Avondale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Avondale will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Avondale (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Avondale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 3, ⚽,
65', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avondale is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:46. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 1.1:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
OFC Pro League
23.05.26	South Melbourne - Auckland FC 2	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	South Melbourne - Vanuatu United	4:0 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
18.05.26	South Melbourne - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:4 ✺
OFC Pro League
11.05.26	South Melbourne - Bula	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	South Melbourne - South Island United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
16.05.26	Hume City - Avondale	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Avondale - Altona Magic	5:1 ✺
02.05.26	Avondale - Caroline Springs George Cross	5:2 ✺
24.04.26	Heidelberg United - Avondale	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Avondale - Melbourne City Youth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
13.02.26	Avondale - South Melbourne	0:2
17.08.25	South Melbourne - Avondale	0:5
03.05.25	Avondale - South Melbourne	4:0
10.08.24	Avondale - South Melbourne	1:1
04.05.24	South Melbourne - Avondale	1:3
10.09.23	Avondale - South Melbourne	4:0
12.08.23	Avondale - South Melbourne	2:1

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