Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Avenger park (Melbourne)


	Avondale		Caroline Springs George Cross

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.05	5.15	Watch
	1.53	4.35	5.57
	1.03	13.17	34.68	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.56	3.95	5.72	Watch
	1.76	3.55	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.76)	5.5 ↑ (3.55)	9.95 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avondale
70.5%

Draw
19%

Caroline Springs George Cross
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avondale's performance.

Caroline Springs George Cross has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caroline Springs George Cross might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avondale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Springs George Cross than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caroline Springs George Cross could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avondale - Caroline Springs George Cross Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Fornaroli B. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Lofts L. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Fornaroli B. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Trajceski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 4 - 1, ⚽,
67', 5 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Avondale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avondale is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
24.04.26	Heidelberg United - Avondale	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Avondale - Melbourne City Youth	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	St Albans Dinamo - Avondale	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Avondale - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Preston Lions - Avondale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTL
- Caroline Springs George Cross
Australian NPL Victoria
25.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Heidelberg United	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Caroline Springs George Cross	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTWL

Avondale - Caroline Springs George Cross: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide