Match Info

Australia Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Green Gully Reserve (Melbourne)


	Avondale		Brisbane City

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	9	Watch
	1.2	6.25	9
	1.24	5.7	8.8	Watch
	1.23	6.02	9.57
	1.25	6.26	10.30	Watch
	1.26	6	9.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	6.08 ↑ (5.21)	9.44 ↑ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avondale
74.9%

Draw
15.3%

Brisbane City
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

17.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

16.7%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avondale's performance.

Brisbane City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Avondale - Brisbane City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Avondale will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brisbane City will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avondale: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Manos T. (G) 24. Wellsmore E. 5. Reid M. 4. Brice A. (C) 14. Carpenter B. 13. Towns Y. 22. Valentini S. 23. Trajceski K. 27. Tevere L. 7. Zinni S. 10. Aguek M.	1. Langdon J. (G) 5. Crociati M. (C) 8. Plusnin O. 27. Docherty E. 26. Brown C. 16. Galindo M. 14. McGrath N. 10. Mudnic J. 12. Yokoyama M. 15. Bolton K. 11. Love-Semira M.
Substitutes
25. Courtney-Perkins J. 80. Cuba C. 2. D’Argenio M. 68. Kamara K. 11. Kur K. 38. Mayen (G) 9. Ott G.	9. Barnes M. 4. Beagley N. 18. Flannery S. (G) 2. Halliday S. 21. Rossi Z. 3. Sadozai B. 7. Waldock J.
Coaches
Markovski Z.	Gaffney P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Aguek M. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Aguek M. ⚽, Valentini S. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Galindo M. ↓, Barnes M. ↑,
55', Brown C. 🟨,
55', 3 - 0, Aguek M. ⚽,
61', 4 - 0, Tevere L. (Pen),
61', Brown C. ↓, Beagley N. ↑,
61', McGrath N. ↓, Halliday S. ↑,
62', Tevere L. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
62', Zinni S. ↓, Kur K. ↑,
62', Towns Y. ↓, Cuba C. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Crociati M. ⚽, Mudnic J. (A),
69', Brice A. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
69', Carpenter B. ↓, Courtney-Perkins J. ↑,
70', Docherty E. 🟨,
73', Bolton K. ↓, Waldock J. ↑,
76', Wellsmore E. 🟨,
77', 5 - 1, Valentini S. ⚽, Cuba C. (A),
77', 🟨,
79', Mudnic J. ↓, Rossi Z. ↑,
81', 5 - 2, Yokoyama M. ⚽, Waldock J. (A),
89', 6 - 2, Cuba C. ⚽, Trajceski K. (A),
90+3', Crociati M. 🟨,

Preview

Avondale has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Brisbane City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Avondale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Avondale is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
17.08.25	South Melbourne - Avondale	0:5 ✺
Australian Cup
13.08.25	Avondale - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:1 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
02.08.25	Avondale - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Altona Magic - Avondale	0:1 ✺
Australian Cup
22.07.25	Avondale - Stirling Macedonia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- Brisbane City
Australian NPL Queensland
15.08.25	Peninsula Power - Brisbane City	1:0 ✺
Australian Cup
12.08.25	Brisbane City - Olympic Kingsway	2:1 penalties ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
02.08.25	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Brisbane City	1:4 ✺
Australian Cup
30.07.25	Brisbane City - Olympic FC	2:0 ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
19.07.25	Brisbane City - Queensland Lions	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW

Avondale - Brisbane City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide