Match Info

Australian Championship - Round 1

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Avenger park (Melbourne)


	Avondale		Canberra Croatia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	7.3	22.97
	1.13	8.59	14.01	Watch
	1.11	8	18.5
	1.21	6	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.38)	7.47 ↑ (5.05)	15.8 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avondale
81.4%

Draw
12.6%

Canberra Croatia
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

18%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

17.5%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avondale's performance.

Canberra Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canberra Croatia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avondale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Croatia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra Croatia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avondale - Canberra Croatia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Avondale has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avondale is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
07.09.25	Avondale - Dandenong City	0:1 ✺
Australian Cup
31.08.25	Avondale - Newcastle Jets	2:4 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
23.08.25	Avondale - Green Gully	2:1 ✺
Australian Cup
20.08.25	Avondale - Brisbane City	6:2 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
17.08.25	South Melbourne - Avondale	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW
- Canberra Croatia FC
Australian NPL ACT
13.09.25	Canberra Croatia - Monaro Panthers	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Canberra Croatia - Tigers FC	2:3 ✺
31.08.25	Canberra Croatia - Tuggeranong United	7:2 ✺
23.08.25	Tigers FC - Canberra Croatia	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Gungahlin United - Canberra Croatia	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

Avondale - Canberra Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide