Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Avenger park (Melbourne)


	Avondale		Melbourne City Youth

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.9	4.55	Watch
	1.6	4.15	5.3
	1.73	4.06	4.09	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.6
	1.61	4.26	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	4.03 (4.03)	4.64 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avondale
57.2%

Draw
22.9%

Melbourne City Youth
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

22.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

22.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Avondale - Melbourne City Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Avondale is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melbourne City Youth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avondale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne City Youth has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avondale is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Avondale - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.99%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
10.04.26	St Albans Dinamo - Avondale	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Avondale - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Preston Lions - Avondale	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Dandenong Thunder - Avondale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWW
- Melbourne City Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
12.04.26	Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Heidelberg United - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - St Albans Dinamo	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTTWT

Avondale - Melbourne City Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide