Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 26

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Avenger park (Melbourne)


	Avondale		Hume City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.10
	1.88	3.7	3.15
	1.96	4.05	3.1
	1.98	4.07	3.13	Watch
	1.92	3.8	3
	1.89	3.8	3.24	Watch
	1.91	3.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)	3.86 ↑ (3.45)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avondale
47.3%

Draw
23.6%

Hume City
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

25.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hume City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Avondale - Hume City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Avondale will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hume City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hume City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hume City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Hume City (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hume City (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Avondale is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Hume City is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 4.

Avondale is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hume City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Avondale will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Avondale won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 2.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
22.08.26	Altona Magic - Avondale	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Avondale	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Avondale - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Melbourne City Youth - Avondale	2:3 ✺
18.07.26	Avondale - St Albans Dinamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWT
- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
22.08.26	Hume City - Caroline Springs George Cross	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Heidelberg United - Hume City	4:5 ✺
01.08.26	Hume City - Melbourne City Youth	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	St Albans Dinamo - Hume City	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
16.05.26	Hume City - Avondale	3:0
04.07.25	Hume City - Avondale	1:2
29.03.25	Avondale - Hume City	2:0
15.06.24	Avondale - Hume City	5:0
09.03.24	Hume City - Avondale	1:2
03.06.23	Hume City - Avondale	0:1
03.03.23	Avondale - Hume City	3:2

Avondale - Hume City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide