The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heidelberg United 43.4%
Draw 25.9%
Hume City 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
25.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
24.6%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Hume City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Heidelberg United - Hume City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 4)
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, ⚽,
58', 3 - 2, ⚽,
70', 3 - 3, ⚽,
74', 4 - 3, ⚽,
77', 4 - 4, ⚽,
85', 4 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 2.
Heidelberg United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hume City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Hume City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Heidelberg United has had a series of away games.
Heidelberg United could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Heidelberg United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
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