Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 21

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: John Ilhan Memorial Reserve (Nasiol) (Melbourne)


	Hume City		Oakleigh Cannons

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.60	2.10
	3.15	3.45	1.94
	3.01	3.75	2.20
	2.91	3.63	2.22	Watch
	2.85	3.65	2.13
	2.89	3.55	2.11	Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.12 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hume City
31.2%

Draw
25.4%

Oakleigh Cannons
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.5%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Oakleigh Cannons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakleigh Cannons than the current prediction. (+5%)

Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Oakleigh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
10.07.26	Preston Lions - Hume City	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Hume City - Dandenong City	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Dandenong Thunder - Hume City	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Hume City - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
05.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Hume City	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWW
- Oakleigh Cannons
Australian NPL Victoria
10.07.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Avondale	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
26.06.26	Heidelberg United - Oakleigh Cannons	0:1 ✺
19.06.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Melbourne City Youth	3:1 ✺
05.06.26	Oakleigh Cannons - St Albans Dinamo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
11.04.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Hume City	3:2
18.07.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Hume City	4:0
04.04.25	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	0:3
18.08.24	Oakleigh Cannons - Hume City	3:1
11.05.24	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	0:2
24.06.23	Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons	0:1
25.03.23	Oakleigh Cannons - Hume City	2:1

Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide