Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Ayacucho		Jorge Wilstermann

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.23	3.4	2.95
	2.13	3.2	3.15
	2.26	3.46	3.2
	2.38	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.22	3.34	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.77)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	3.07 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
41.1%

Draw
28.5%

Jorge Wilstermann
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayacucho's form might have worsened.

Jorge Wilstermann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jorge Wilstermann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayacucho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	14.8%	66.7%

Ayacucho - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 10 - 18.5%). Wilstermann will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wilstermann: 54.1% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Ayacucho could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ayacucho have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
01.05.22	Alianza Atlético - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.04.22	Everton de Viña - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.04.22	Ayacucho - Atlético Grau	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Sport Boys - Ayacucho	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Ayacucho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLLW
- Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.04.22	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.22	Jorge Wilstermann - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.04.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
19.04.22	Blooming - Jorge Wilstermann	3:3 ✺
16.04.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Royal Pari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Ayacucho	0:2

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