Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)

Referee: Zamora J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Ayacucho		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.1	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.42	3	3.15	Watch
	2.4	2.97	3.22
	2.70	2.87	2.90	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.8
	2.34	3.06	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.64)	2.96 ↓ (3.12)	2.99 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
37.6%

Draw
31.4%

Atlético Grau
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Ayacucho - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grau will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Valencia J. (G) 29. Falconi J. 22. Bilbao J. 3. Ganoza M. 17. Villamarin J. 5. Tamariz A. 18. Orue D. (C) 20. Correa Flores C. A. 16. Vilchez J. 77. Lucumi J. 24. Perez Azambuya E. M.	1. Alvarez P. (C) 17. Reyes J. 27. Tapia R. 14. Bolivar J. 6. Rodas E. 29. Garcia B. 13. Franco D. 24. Olivares C. 10. de la Cruz P. 11. Bandiera N. 99. Ruidiaz R.
Substitutes
26. Aquino H. 25. Ataupillco J. 12. Caro D. 66. de la Cruz A. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 14. Loayza G. 15. Ratto P. 10. Rios M. 4. Yovera A.	2. Cavagna F. 26. Flores A. 16. F. Rojas 12. Fuentes A. (G) 7. Garro J. 22. Herrera Joel 15. Rostaing J. 9. Sandoval T. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Castellanos S.	Comizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Lucumi J. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Olivares C. (A),
55', Tamariz A. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
55', Vilchez J. ↓, Caro D. ↑,
59', Reyes J. 🟨,
60', Ganoza M. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑,
62', Reyes J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑,
70', Olivares C. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
76', Franco D. 🟨,
77', Bandiera N. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Sandoval T. ⚽, Tapia R. (A),
86', Orue D. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Loayza G. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grau is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ayacucho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There are questionable in Grau: Reyes J. (Injury) Sandoval T. (Injury) Soto D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
13.07.25	Ayacucho - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Ayacucho - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Ayacucho - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLL
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
13.07.25	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Atlético Grau - Universitario de Deportes	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Atlético Grau - Cusco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
08.02.25	Atlético Grau - Ayacucho	1:0
11.09.22	Atlético Grau - Ayacucho	3:0
22.04.22	Ayacucho - Atlético Grau	1:2
09.09.20	Atlético Grau - Ayacucho	2:2

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