Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Ayamonte		Utrera

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	1.83
	4.35	3.17	1.76
	4.48	3.15	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.52)	3.11 ↑ (2.93)	1.8 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayamonte
20.9%

Draw
29%

Utrera
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

30.5%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

30%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utrera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayamonte than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utrera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Ayamonte is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Utrera is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ayamonte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Utrera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ayamonte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayamonte CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.01.24	Conil - Ayamonte	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Cartaya - Ayamonte	3:0 ✺
07.01.24	Ayamonte - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Ayamonte - Cabecense	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Ceuta B - Ayamonte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLLT
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
21.01.24	Utrera - Coria CF	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Utrera - La Palma	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Puente Genil - Utrera	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Xerez Deportivo - Utrera	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Utrera - Bollullos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.09.23	Utrera - Ayamonte	2:0

Ayamonte - Utrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide